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sábado, 15 de janeiro de 2011

complex issues require simple solutions

Complex issues, requiring solutions that are easy ...


NASA has faced some difficult issues with respect to space travel, in all, we found simple solutions:

01) The need for drinking water during space travel, NASA has solved the problem with the recycling of urine from the astronauts themselves> simple solution to a complex issue, since it would be impossible to carry water in spacecraft, in quantity and quality required;

02) The need to feed astronauts during space travel, a complex issue, it would be impossible to bring food and prepare them in space, NASA found another simple solution: the tiny capsules of concentrated and dehydrated foods;

03) The need to defecate in the absence of gravity, which would be impossible, NASA found another very simple solution: a device to suck, installed in the toilet;

04) Addressing the complex issue of loss of bone mass of astronauts during space travel, NASA has found another very simple solution: exercise while traveling;

05) Resolving the complex issue of the need to decelerate the vehicle after reentry into the atmosphere, NASA has found the simple solution would be for you to install the parachute, which help to slow down;

06) During the Second World War, the bombing of civilian populations in cities, was a complex issue that was easily solved with the finishing the installation of warning sirens, a very simple solution that helped save thousands of innocent lives.

There are thousands and millions of examples that can be cited, that intelligence, and boundless human creativity, found simple solutions to solve complex issues in all areas of knowledge and human activities.

Focusing on the issue of climate change and geological features that planet Earth faces today, so irreversible, it is necessary to establish the main challenge today quetões complex humanity, to then study the possible solutions that need to be urgent, immediate, and simple , the simplest possible, because the urgency for making them, and efficiently.

Complex issues that defy humanity and undermine the survival of the human species:

Climate change is associated with geological changes;

The weather phenomena modify the geology of the Earth and the geological phenomena known to change weather patterns, creating new standards unknown and not yet studied;

The climatic and geological changes have always happened in the past Earth, cyclically, but the current phase has some significant differences:

The human contribution in the process of acceleration;

High population density on the planet;

Super-populations living in urban areas where previously lived in rural areas;

Uncontrolled increase in the geometric and poor population in high risk areas;

All these data are connected, form a global time bomb that is exploding, with tragic consequences in terms of deaths of people, disease, social disorganization, lack of food, insufficient Deficient necessary, etc ...

What to do? What are the possible solutions?

The process of geological and climatic changes are irreversible, past the point of recovery. Isolated actions heroic and no longer has the power to stop or decrease the pace of change that are already happening:

Large falls of rain, concentrated in localized areas of high risk;

Colossal floods with catastrophic consequences for an urban population without the necessary infrastructure;

Possible and planned large earthquakes in fault lines, on which were built large urban concentrations;

Tsunamis devastating for urban populations concentrated in coastal areas of the oceans;

Massive eruption of previously dormant volcanoes, and awakened by the force of recent geological activity and climate, and an intense rhythm with frequencies outside of the known standards.

Complex issues, urgent and simple solutions:

impossível, demandaria tempo e não é simples.">Remove people from risk areas> impossible, require time and is not simple.

Slowing down the pace of technological change through action: impossible, would require a long time is not simple.

What is the solution that would decrease the number of dead?

What is the solution that would avoid astronomical and incalculable economic losses?

What is the solution that would avoid social chaos, food shortages, diseases from the tragedies of Deficient social failure, and all other foreseeable consequences of environmental disasters?

Two examples just demonstrate the efficiency of the solutions simple and urgent:

In Australia, with a volume of water much greater than that of Brazil, reported only 20 dead.

Were fired simple, efficient and urgent ALERTS before the rise of water levels and flooding of rivers.

Simple and efficient! Only 20 people died, victims of a flood that the international media described as "biblical proportions"

In Rio, the mountain region, city of Nova Friburgo, Petrópolis, Teresopolis, Bom Jardim, and others, with a volume of rainfall much lower than that of Australia, the death toll is staggering.

You know why? Have been given no warning.

INPE has not entered the mass media, did not use the Web, has made no strategic plan "alerts" in risk areas, the result of the absence of simple solutions is in the media, the death toll will approach of 1000, as the Autoire ignore missing in official accounts.

That same region, a neighboring town in the road junction, there is an inner-city, quiet, simple, beautiful, almost traditional, modern standards of architecture that I know well, called "AREAL," you can find on Google , well, the Mayor of Areal, when he learned that the tragedy was approaching, put a sound truck in the streets of risk areas, conse reduce the dimensions of the tragedy in his town.

There was material damage, but did not loss of life and other consequences of the great tragedies.

Simple, urgent, easy and low cost: a sound truck in the streets of risk areas, warning of the danger and telling the people to leave immediately.

Complex issues simple and urgent solutions.

It's simple enough to analyze, use all resources available at the time of emergency, and issue timely alerts.


RUI SANTOS DE SOUZA
Brazil, Curitiba, January 15, 2011 - 18h: 43

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